March 10, 2026

US Election Results

Wisconsin Elections Forecast (10/25)

Presidential – Chance of Winning

  • 🟥 Trump: 53%
  • 🟦 Harris: 47%
  • [R+1 since last week]

Senate – Chance of Winning

  • 🟦 Baldwin: 68%
  • 🟥 Hovde: 32%
  • [D-1 since last week]

Presidential – Poll Average (67 polls)

  • 🟥 Trump: 48.5% (+0.4)
  • 🟦 Harris: 48.1%
  • [R-0.3 since last week]

Senate – Poll Average (66 polls)

  • 🟦 Baldwin: 48.2% (+1.1)
  • 🟥 Hovde: 47.1%
  • [D-0.1 since last week]


Michigan Elections Forecast (10/25)

Presidential – Chance of Winning

  • 🟦 Harris: 58%
  • 🟥 Trump: 42%
  • [D-1 since last week]

Senate – Chance of Winning

  • 🟦 Slotkin: 68%
  • 🟥 Rogers: 32%
  • [No Change]

Presidential – Poll Average (64 polls)

  • 🟥 Trump: 47.9% (TIE)
  • 🟦 Harris: 47.9%
  • [No Change]

Senate – Poll Average (74 polls)

  • 🟦 Slotkin: 47.7% (+3.6)
  • 🟥 Rogers: 44.1%
  • [No Change]


Nevada afternoon update:

9k more mail (all from Clark)

  • 332k Clark 🔵 D +5800
  • 79k Washoe 🔴 R +3100
  • 56k Rural/Others 🔴 R +25,000

  • Statewide Adv 🔴 R +22,300
  • 489k Total Votes cast:
  • 39.9% GOP / 35.3% DEM / 24.8% Other